Fantasy Football Today: Recapping TNF; Week 4 DFS and prop talk; prepping for early London kickoff

The thing about players coming back from injury that you have to keep in mind is, even if a player is active, it doesn't necessarily mean they'll be their usual selves. We saw that with both Aaron Jones and Christian Watson Thursday night, as both players made their returns from hamstring injuries, but neither played a full role in the Packers loss.
Jones had just five carries and one catch and was coming out of the game pretty regularly, including in the second quarter, where he was spotted getting some treatment. Watson had the better game for Fantasy, but only because he caught a touchdown on one of his two catches; otherwise, it would have been a pretty meager showing as Watson played only 26 snaps.
That's something to keep in mind with the likes of Austin Ekeler and Saquon Barkley potentially making their returns this week. I'm starting both if they're active, but there's always the chance that they come back at something less than 100%, or worse, suffer a setback that turns it into another multi-week absence.
You can't always just play scared, of course. You have to take some chances, and in Watson's case, he did enough to not be a total zero. But you should just know that there's always a bit of added risk when dealing with players coming off injuries.
This Sunday's newsletter is going to be a bit different, by the way. Because we have a 9:30 am ET kickoff between the Falcons and Jaguars, we're going to try to get the newsletter into your inbox before lineups lock for that game. Unfortunately, that means we might have less injury news for Sunday morning than usual. To make up for it, I'll be answering some of your questions Sunday morning – both here and on the Fantasy Football Today YouTube channel starting at 11:30 a.m. ET. Join Adam Aizer and me Sunday morning to get your questions answered, or email me directly at Chris.Towers@Paramount.com with the subject line "#AskFFT" to be included.
Now, here's today's newsletter, starting with the Thursday Night Football recap before I give some of my favorite DFS and prop plays for Week 4:
TNF recap: Lions 34, Packers 20The big takeaway: Jahmyr Gibbs might be more explosive. He might be more fun to watch. Heck, he might even be the best player in the Lions backfield. Right now, none of that matters. Gibbs ran the ball well Thursday, picking up 40 yards on his eight carries, and yet David Montgomery was the clear lead back in his return from injury, and it wasn't even close. Montgomery ran the ball 32 times for 121 yards and, of course, three touchdowns. The case for Montgomery was that he could step into the Jamaal Williams role, while actually being a better player than Williams, and that's looking like a pretty good call right now. Montgomery will never be a model of efficiency, but he has five touchdowns in three games, so it just doesn't matter. He looks like a must-start RB in this offense. There's plenty to like about Gibbs, who had 12 touches of his own Thursday, enough to make him Fantasy relevant. But as long as Montgomery is healthy and has the coaching staff's trust like this, he looks like the better option here -- albeit one who might disappoint those weeks when he doesn't find the end zone. Winner: Romeo Doubs. There was some chatter in the preseason that Doubs might just lead the Packers in catches, and that sure looks like it's going to happen. He had nine of them Thursday for 95 yards on a team-high 13 targets, giving him 25 over the past two games and 33 for the season. Christian Watson still should be the better option for Fantasy in the long run, but Doubs has three games with 18-plus PPR points in four games, and is certainly going to matter. Loser: Jordan Love. Love actually had a decent Fantasy game Thursday, scoring 17.82 points, so you could make a case this was actually a pretty promising day for him from a Fantasy perspective because he did not play well and still had a not-terrible game for Fantasy. But the bigger takeaway here is that the Lions were consistently able to generate pressure without blitzing, and Love was completely frazzled. He's struggled with accuracy, and the Packers haven't helped him out by drawing up easy passes -- he entered the game with the highest average intended air yards in the NFL. His aggression gives Love a high weekly ceiling, but it's also going to lead to some pretty ugly lines. I still view him as a QB2 until he shows more.
Post a Comment